Russia's "national defense" magazine editor 科罗特琴科 considers the West and Iran are to prepare for military conflict, both sides are playing the dangerous game of a cross between war and peace. Any party to acts of provocation or miscarriage of justice may lead to military conflict, the two sides eventually the possibility of military conflict broke out 70%. Iran block the Strait of Hormuz, the Western countries as a declaration of war, the United States certainly will be the Iran military retaliation. In addition, blockade of the straits would allow Iran to complete loss of oil export revenues. Therefore, the relationship will be maintained at the state of neither war nor peace.
The Iranian parliament in the 29th to discuss a bill, the bill may decide to stop oil exports to the EU as early as this week. There are indications that around the Iranian nuclear issue, the opposition between the West and Iran growing, sparked concerns about a new outbreak of military conflict in the Gulf region. Analysts believe that both sides are playing a dangerous game of a cross between war and peace.
Iran has always been to show his tough stance the day before yesterday to accept the requests for visits by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). 29 am local time, the high-level delegation arrived 达伊朗伊玛 head Khomeini International Airport. This six-member delegation will hold talks with Iranian officials in the scheduled three-day trip to find a solution to the Iranian nuclear problem.
As second only to Saudi Arabia, Russia's third largest oil exporter, Iran produces 18 percent of crude oil exports to EU countries. Off the oil bill, such as IranWorld Steel Pipe , Saudi Arabia and other Middle Eastern countries will increase the oil to stabilize the market World steel pipe network editing .
Has a large dependence on Iranian oil, Iran to stop oil, Greece, Italy and Spain will bear the brunt of the impact of these three countries, the economy will be paralyzed.
IAEA delegation
Iran's pre-emptive counter-measures, indicated that he would struggle with the West, the end determination. Statistics show that 80% of the total export trade in Iran, oil exports accounted for half of Iran's government revenue comes from oil exports.
This is actually off the oil bill for the EU's strong response to Iran and the resolution of the EU countries.
When leaving Iran, the IAEA is responsible for verification Affairs Deputy Director-General Hermann Nake Ci in Vienna Airport to the media said "are trying to solve all outstanding problems of Iran and expressed the hope that Iran and the parties concerned" Open overdue, dialogue, and look forward to Iran with the. The message also said that the delegation arrived in the after-finding mission to Iran's nuclear facilities.
EU: reservoir full anti-threat
Analysis: the two sides is likely to remain dangerous relationship
EU Foreign Ministers' Meeting 23 passed a resolution to ban EU countries, oil imports from Iran and at the same time to impose sanctions on Iran Central Bank. However, in order to ease the pressure of the oil embargo to the EU member states and related enterprises, the resolution is agreed to have already signed the contract can be performed on July 1 this year. In the meantime, the EU countries will look for other "oil". If the Iranian Parliament to make the decision immediately off the oil to the EU, will lead directly to the default buffer of abortion in the European Union, and immediate sources of oil to the EU burden. Prior to consultation, Saudi Arabia and other Middle East oil-producing countries have expressed their willingness to increase production of oil in order to stabilize the international market after the EU embargo on Iranian oil.
The Iranian official said, agreed that the delegation's visit reflects the "transparency" of Iraq's nuclear program, also shows that the co-operative attitude of the Iraqi side with the IAEA. Salehi, Iran's Foreign Minister, said that the visit of the delegation of the International Atomic Energy Agency expressed "optimism". Iran's ambassador to the International Atomic Energy Agency also pointed out that the delegation's visit is proof of Iran's nuclear program is "legitimate, frankly.
Infested Gulf from Iran to hold military exercises to the U.S. aircraft carrier, from the United States, Britain, Israel did not give up military options to senior Iranian officials again threatened to blockade the Strait of Hormuz, the Iranian oil embargo to Iran from Europe and the United States to the early termination to the European The oil in the Gulf region shrouded in dark clouds of conflict.
The EU said that the European oil reservoir is full enough to confront the Iranian threat. French-based International Energy Agency statistics, Germany has 2.83 billion barrels of oil, can support over a hundred days, France has a stock of 160 million barrels, supporting up to 90 days. In addition, analysts believe that, immediately stop oil supply to Europe, such as Iran the biggest victims will be Iran, because they have to find new buyers for the day, about 50 million barrels of crude oil, may be forced to be made in the price major concessions.
Iran: "off oil" is intended to pre-emptive
Some analysts believe that the West is unlikely to take military action against Iran, because the UN Security Council on Iran, the formation of the unity of will, "the military action can not be authorized, and second, because the Iranian nuclear issue relevant parties different political aspirations and economic interests of any party to unilateral action will not work, which is actually non-military means to resolve the Iranian nuclear issue on insurance.
In addition to the decision immediately to the European Union off the oil, Iran also may prohibit any of the products imported from European countries, as the response of the European Union on Iraq oil embargo sanctions.
The senior management of a European oil company said that if Iran immediately stop oil supply, will cause some trouble for some countries, "We want to be prepared. Iran has been forced into a corner, it is difficult to predict they will react. "
Arrived in Iran to investigate the nuclear facilities