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Deutsche Bank said the proliferation of the debt crisis in Europe will allow global stock markets fe

Release Date:2012-05-05  Hits:421
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in the view of the Deutsche Bank, EU leaders failed to unite, the financial sector would decline by two-thirds. Asia and Europe, public utilities, industrial, telecommunications, non-necessary consumer goods will collapse, health care, consumer staples and energy sectors will be relatively be protected.


Deutsche Bank proposes to invest in, select the balance sheet of the S & P constituent companies; purchase relatively low-risk European sovereign / bank / insurance company CDS risk protection for cash and buy put options to protect the system risk;; buy put options to hedge liquidity risk in the short end of the interest rate curve.

Deutsche Bank released a report on the 15th EU leaders appear to be enough to unity, do not allow investors to eliminate the fear of the spread of EU crisis.


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Deutsche Bank believes that if the situation deteriorates, causing full-blown financial crisis since the 2008 collapse of the Lehman Brothers, another large-scale, this trend continues, the main risk is the decline in global stock markets (MSCI World Index) of 35%.


"short-term analysis is dangerous from long-term perspective World Pipe network informed, we are still in the beginning of the global sovereign debt crisis. The sovereign debt crisis has not yet led to a deep recession World pipe network reported that the world's steel pipe network to provide the world's steel pipe network editor , so the surface will become wider involved in future crises. Recent short-selling Italian action out of the market concerns about the spread of the crisis, solvency, or does not have a doubt the sustainability, the EU may also have to take the time to take response measures, including the final settlement of the Greek problem. European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF) to buy government bonds in the secondary market. The ECB may have to restart the bond purchase program four months ago to stop. Jean-Claude Trichet must come up with a long-term plan to prevent the euro disintegration ". Deutsche Bank warned that we really are in a unique and very dangerous moment.


Deutsche Bank Fixed Income Research Department study that we have entered the global debt crisis. Deutsche Bank believes that the currency in addition to extreme measures, there is no other way to solve this in global financial / sovereign credit crisis. Western countries are too large size of the debt, print money is the only viable option. "Our view is that history has never been observed in so many countries have such a large scale government and financial (G + F) sector debt. If in the past, then, a lot of debts and more countries have already defaulted.


Germany, Italy, Spain, and even those who appear to be "much safer" countries may only hope that through this debt crisis, because in the past we have never experienced such a large silver The scale of the problem with the outbreak.


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